Economy in a deflation trap. A rate cut of 200 bps urgent. Monetary policy non-responsive or failed?
Article's purpose and background The purpose of this short article is to provide highlights on central bank (CB) monetary policy operations during 1st three quarters of 2024, raising serious concerns over deflationary economy in years ahead and monetary policy failure to maintain the domestic price stability and to recommend an emergency rate cut of at least 200 bps and a timely injection of fresh reserves of at least Rs. 3 trillion in years ahead to promote a fair distribution of credit across priority sectors such as exports and domestic foods to recover the economy before the second round of default possible in 2028 consequential to the commencement of foreign debt service on restructured terms. However, finding the leadership with capacity and energy to understand and implement the recommendation above is extremely difficult in the present IMF economic governance system. Leading highlights are as follows. Early signs of the economy being pushed to a deflationary trap indica